3 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1515
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kysely
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kysely
ELO 1618
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Tuma stays under total as underdog 85% (13)
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+103
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)