2 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1441
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.