2 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1316
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Madle
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1386
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Madle
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.