2 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1519
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Burdik
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Burdik
ELO 1574
FormLLLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Burdik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.