2 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1432
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.