2 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1561
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bayer
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1513
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.