2 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klement
MB
🇨🇿Martin Bittner
ELO 1573
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klement
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.