2 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇨🇿Sebastian Kasnik
ELO 1513
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cermak
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1561
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.