2 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1441
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Didi
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1964
ELO 1414
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
🌟1964 stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Didi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H2-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.