3 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1490
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kucirek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1506
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Kucirek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H15-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.