2 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZB
🇨🇿Zdenek Bilek
ELO 1744
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bilek
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1681
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Bilek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.