2 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1561
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bayer
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1561
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H8-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.