2 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1395
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Syroha
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1450
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H9-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.