2 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stolfa
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1480
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.