3 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1455
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kudelka
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kudelka
ELO 1574
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kudelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+119
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+119)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)