2 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1747
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mares
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1681
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Mares
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.