3 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DM
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1414
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mutl
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1282
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mutl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)