3 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1455
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1490
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H30-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.