2 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1516
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heczko
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Levicky
ELO 1495
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H32-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.