2 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1554
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1658
FormWLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+104
H2H55-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (55-47)