2 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1766
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jindrak
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1747
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Mares goes over total as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H18-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.