2 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1395
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.851956
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1316
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · 1956
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+79
H2H7-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.