3 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kysely
ELO 1618
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kysely
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1561
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Bayer goes over total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.