3 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DM
🇨🇿David Mutl
ELO 1414
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mazanek
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1414
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.