3 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Stach
ELO 1461
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stach
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1438
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Stach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.