3 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1554
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Machander
FL
🇨🇿Frantisek Laburda
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Machander
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.