3 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1516
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Langer
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1581
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.