3 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1429
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kysely
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1562
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)