3 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1551
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vedmoch
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1499
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.