3 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1429
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stolfa
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1485
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.