3 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1559
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kysely
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1551
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.