3 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1485
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kysely
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1559
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.