3 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1564
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cabak
FL
🇨🇿Frantisek Laburda
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Cabak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.