3 Jul · 02:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1414
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mazanek
JC
🇨🇿Jaromir Cernik
ELO 1282
FormWWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+132
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)