3 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolisnyk
RW
🇨🇿Richard Wagner
ELO 1515
FormWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.