4 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kudelka
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kudelka
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1475
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kudelka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.