4 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Pozarsky
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Simecek
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.