4 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1548
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nohejl
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1475
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.