4 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1473
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nohejl
VN
🇨🇿Vaclav Nohejl
ELO 1548
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.