4 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1576
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Simecek
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1569
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Simecek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.