4 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1515
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heczko
MH
🇨🇿Marcel Heczko
ELO 1542
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Heczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H30-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.