4 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1577
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1617
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H56-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.