4 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1577
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sebera
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+82
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.