4 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Urbaniec
DS
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1475
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.