4 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Pozarsky
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Just
FJ
🇨🇿Frantisek Just
ELO 1569
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Just
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~71 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H9-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.