4 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1440
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stefek
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1436
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Stefek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H5-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.