4 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sopko
ELO 1552
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sebera
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1577
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.