4 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AB
🇨🇿Adam Brazda
ELO 1490
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pusch
FP
🇨🇿Frantisek Pusch
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pusch
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.