4 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1581
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Blejchar
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1515
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Blejchar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 29% · 3.49· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H5-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.