4 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PB
🇨🇿Petr Banot
ELO 1411
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stolba
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1441
FormWLWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Stolba
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.